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New Research Warns Bitcoin Could Need Months of Downtime to Defend Against Quantum Threats

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Why it matters: A University of Kent study reveals Bitcoin’s blockchain could require up to 76 days of complete downtime to implement quantum-resistant security measures, potentially costing nearly $1 billion in losses. As reported by Futurism, the findings come as Google’s new Willow quantum chip demonstrates unprecedented computing power.

The Big Picture: Fortune reports that the quantum computing threat to Bitcoin operates on two fronts:

  • Breaking encryption protecting private keys
  • Disrupting mining network integrity
  • Compromising blockchain security

Technical Challenge: Updating Bitcoin’s security presents a massive logistical hurdle:

  • 76 days of complete network shutdown needed
  • Alternative 305-day partial update possible
  • Estimated $912 million in potential losses (Binance)
  • 275 million users requiring consensus

Time Pressure: While quantum computers capable of breaking Bitcoin’s encryption don’t exist yet, experts warn preparation is crucial:

  • Google’s Willow chip solves problems 10 septillion times faster than supercomputers
  • Commercial quantum threats predicted within 5 years
  • 1.9 million Bitcoins stored in vulnerable pre-2012 addresses

Looking Forward: The cryptocurrency community faces difficult choices between extended downtime for security updates versus risking future quantum attacks. The decentralized nature of Bitcoin makes coordinating such massive changes particularly challenging. 

source

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